NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa113340c73a2546bb77f03a3e7fc0a239110aa60a15d5b63140a74ce7032591d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Avalanche | 41c | 22,198$9,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,096.76 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Wild | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,799.97 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Avalanche | 41c | 9,722$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,691.02 | 287 | 49.8%143 W · 144 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Wild | 26c | 7,669$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Wild | 59c | 7,627$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Avalanche | 14c | 4,947$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.95 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 63c | 4,242$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.76 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Avalanche | 33c | 3,487$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.51 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 58c | 2,381$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.98 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Avalanche | 29c | 1,924$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.93 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wild | 58c | 1,783$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.96 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Wild | 67c | 1,720$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.33 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Avalanche | 73c | 1,661$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.42 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Avalanche | 41c | 1,581$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Avalanche | 14c | 1,419$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +11.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Avalanche | 73c | 1,229$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.64 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Avalanche | 56c | 1,123$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.35 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 56c | 978.41$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.08 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Wild | 46c | 954.46$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Wild | 60c | 881$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.6 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Wild | 75c | 777$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee5e…e619backed Wild | 35c | 709.11$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Wild | 47c | 667.91$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.61 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Wild | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 39c | 629.42$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.76 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Avalanche | 39c | 608.2$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Avalanche | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Avalanche | 54c | 562.66$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.82 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c4…ee30backed Wild | 25c | 555.2$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Wild | 25c | 509.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…8aa2backed Wild | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Wild | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Wild | 44c | 484$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Avalanche | 13c | 470.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.66 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Wild | 42c | 451.19$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.97 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Avalanche | 38c | 447.84$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.44 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Avalanche | 34c | 431.35$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.39 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wild | 53c | 416.01$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.85 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Wild | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…e95fbacked Avalanche | 39c | 407.78$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.74 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Avalanche | 60c | 406.85$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.74 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Avalanche | 30c | 400$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.7 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Avalanche | 42c | 399.97$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Wild | 44c | 384.09$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Avalanche | 60c | 375.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Avalanche | 57c | 330.28$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.02 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Wild | 20c | 316.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Avalanche | 69c | 315.75$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.14 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Avalanche | 74c | 306.65$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Avalanche | 43c | 299.56$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.75 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Avalanche | 39c | 286.46$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…0b92backed Wild | 45c | 254.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Wild | 41c | 240.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Avalanche | 59c | 225$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Wild | 58c | 223$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Wild | 43c | 210.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Wild | 59c | 207.48$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Avalanche | 55c | 191.66$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Avalanche | 71c | 189.74$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Avalanche | 40c | 180$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Wild | 22c | 173.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Avalanche | 75c | 170.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…3484backed Wild | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…ca76backed Avalanche | 41c | 165$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Avalanche | 36c | 160.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Avalanche | 61c | 154.41$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.41 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Wild | 59c | 152$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Avalanche | 75c | 147.47$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Avalanche | 41c | 142.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.09 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Wild | 61c | 139.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Avalanche | 61c | 133$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Wild | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Wild | 60c | 130$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Wild | 75c | 110.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.06 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Avalanche | 48c | 109.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 174 | 56.3%98 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Avalanche | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Avalanche | 49c | 105.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +8.9wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Avalanche | 29c | 105.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Avalanche | 79c | 101.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Avalanche | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Avalanche | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Wild | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Wild | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Avalanche | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Avalanche | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Wild | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5321…1053backed Avalanche | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Wild | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Avalanche | 50c | 93.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | -15.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Avalanche | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Wild | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Avalanche | 54c | 89.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…6914backed Wild | 59c | 87.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 41c | 81.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Avalanche | 32c | 78.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61d…5f97backed Wild | 78c | 73.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Avalanche | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 397 | 51.1%203 W · 194 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Avalanche | 41c | 72.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Wild | 61c | 72.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Avalanche | 74c | 67.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Wild vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.