Tennis · resolved market
Francavilla: Martin Krumich vs Gabriele Piraino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89c1c235aca3c7385215fbfa77be5c3bf75a6daab4f9b31659503ef44aaac5c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Krumichof Martin Krumich, Gabriele Piraino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Gabriele Piraino | 14c | 3,268$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.22 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gabriele Piraino | 7c | 3,001$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.48 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Martin Krumich | 72c | 2,854$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.85 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gabriele Piraino | 22c | 1,218$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.39 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Gabriele Piraino | 13c | 1,065$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.66 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Gabriele Piraino | 29c | 1,061$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.7 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Martin Krumich | 70c | 850$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.48 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Gabriele Piraino | 26c | 773.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Martin Krumich | 70c | 716.01$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.01 | 184 | 62%114 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gabriele Piraino | 24c | 628.04$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.73 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Gabriele Piraino | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Gabriele Piraino | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Gabriele Piraino | 31c | 496.28$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.8 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gabriele Piraino | 20c | 428.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Gabriele Piraino | 28c | 427.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Martin Krumich | 69c | 370.11$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Gabriele Piraino | 26c | 340.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Gabriele Piraino | 12c | 318.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gabriele Piraino | 11c | 302.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Gabriele Piraino | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Gabriele Piraino | 28c | 291$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Gabriele Piraino | 27c | 285$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Gabriele Piraino | 26c | 275.66$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Gabriele Piraino | 19c | 231.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Gabriele Piraino | 20c | 195.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Martin Krumich | 69c | 130.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Gabriele Piraino | 13c | 115.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Gabriele Piraino | 19c | 115$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Gabriele Piraino | 19c | 101.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Gabriele Piraino | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Gabriele Piraino | 20c | 94.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Gabriele Piraino | 27c | 92.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Gabriele Piraino | 30c | 92.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…c1a0backed Martin Krumich | 72c | 89.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Martin Krumich | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Gabriele Piraino | 16c | 78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Gabriele Piraino | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Gabriele Piraino | 32c | 74.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Martin Krumich | 68c | 73.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Martin Krumich | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Gabriele Piraino | 23c | 66.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Martin Krumich | 80c | 62.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 257 | 63.4%163 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gabriele Piraino | 19c | 61.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Gabriele Piraino | 33c | 59.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c6…737abacked Martin Krumich | 69c | 58.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -25.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Martin Krumich | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Martin Krumich | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Gabriele Piraino | 22c | 56.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Martin Krumich | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Martin Krumich | 68c | 54.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Gabriele Piraino | 25c | 54.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Martin Krumich | 72c | 50.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Gabriele Piraino | 22c | 50.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Martin Krumich | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Gabriele Piraino | 28c | 46.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Gabriele Piraino | 27c | 39.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Gabriele Piraino | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…55d3backed Martin Krumich | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bf…a661backed Martin Krumich | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Martin Krumich | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 75cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Martin Krumich | 68c | 22.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2d…8a14backed Martin Krumich | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Martin Krumich | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…3053backed Martin Krumich | 79c | 16.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 217 | 65.9%143 W · 74 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Martin Krumich | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Martin Krumich | 77c | 14.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Martin Krumich | 79c | 14.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.