TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Lorenzo Carboni

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Aleksandar Kovacevicof Aleksandar Kovacevic, Lorenzo Carboni
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,772

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Carboni10c11,371$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.798,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6c62backed Lorenzo Carboni0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lorenzo Carboni15c7,632$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.87,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Lorenzo Carboni3c6,398$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.519737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Lorenzo Carboni10c5,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.9944018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Aleksandar Kovacevic66c4,414$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.1479855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Carboni15c3,028$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.8411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Lorenzo Carboni34c2,986$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.24,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Aleksandar Kovacevic78c2,564$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.153655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Lorenzo Carboni6c2,381$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.384,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Lorenzo Carboni10c1,998$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.541,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Lorenzo Carboni19c1,155$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9228933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc314…6a46backed Lorenzo Carboni3c1,061$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7718410.9%20 W · 164 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lorenzo Carboni10c1,002$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.166,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Lorenzo Carboni4c1,001$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.256,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Aleksandar Kovacevic65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35024643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lorenzo Carboni9c756.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.662,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Lorenzo Carboni35c710.5$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026853.7%144 W · 124 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Aleksandar Kovacevic80c600$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0515442.2%65 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Lorenzo Carboni35c496.01$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.462,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…9d08backed Aleksandar Kovacevic64c450$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1622975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick64cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Lorenzo Carboni11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3543449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd80a…c494backed Lorenzo Carboni16c310.87$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Lorenzo Carboni35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10589850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cee…0d1ebacked Lorenzo Carboni39c255.13$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018849.5%93 W · 95 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f61…f56fbacked Lorenzo Carboni7c216.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Aleksandar Kovacevic66c212.59$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5984968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Lorenzo Carboni9c208.45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.576,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed Aleksandar Kovacevic78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4423761.6%146 W · 91 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lorenzo Carboni6c191.61$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.073,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Lorenzo Carboni35c166$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.184640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Aleksandar Kovacevic63c162.25$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.031776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+59.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfaa6…d3c2backed Aleksandar Kovacevic64c156.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8646562.6%291 W · 174 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Aleksandar Kovacevic66c152.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5938951.9%202 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lorenzo Carboni17c136.31$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.723,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Aleksandar Kovacevic64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic66c121.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2924463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32dc…c109backed Aleksandar Kovacevic78c113.52$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.524372.1%31 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Lorenzo Carboni34c105.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Aleksandar Kovacevic66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9138262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Lorenzo Carboni15c86.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.062,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Aleksandar Kovacevic66c85$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.92,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lorenzo Carboni34c82.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.052,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Aleksandar Kovacevic66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7681256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Lorenzo Carboni34c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.516529.1%48 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Lorenzo Carboni18c72.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1349943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4773…fd83backed Aleksandar Kovacevic66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.611758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Aleksandar Kovacevic63c57.14$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1451347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Lorenzo Carboni37c54.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054744.4%243 W · 304 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Lorenzo Carboni19c53.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.212,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Lorenzo Carboni37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.542353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Aleksandar Kovacevic65c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.75244.2%23 W · 29 L-8.8wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-33.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Lorenzo Carboni34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Lorenzo Carboni22c45.46$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Aleksandar Kovacevic66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.457263.9%46 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f0…0114backed Aleksandar Kovacevic79c44.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32560%15 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Aleksandar Kovacevic66c40.91$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9113231.1%41 W · 91 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Aleksandar Kovacevic80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85666.1%37 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Aleksandar Kovacevic65c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1415657.1%89 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Aleksandar Kovacevic65c35.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3925751.8%133 W · 124 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14de…489cbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic65c33.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8516870.8%119 W · 49 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Lorenzo Carboni35c32.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.474,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7960…fe2abacked Aleksandar Kovacevic64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.257665.8%50 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46f…55d3backed Aleksandar Kovacevic65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.775267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Aleksandar Kovacevic66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.388560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x411e…72f0backed Aleksandar Kovacevic66c30.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2615762.4%98 W · 59 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.951,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Aleksandar Kovacevic64c24.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9823047.4%109 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebcb…dd4bbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.446556.9%37 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Aleksandar Kovacevic65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6442…d68bbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic64c19.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1115146.4%70 W · 81 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5956…970abacked Aleksandar Kovacevic64c18.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.721866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Aleksandar Kovacevic64c15.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.661,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.