Tennis · resolved market
Francavilla: Harry Wendelken vs Frederico Ferreira Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa90290959d0473db5747a334339ba58964828e55ed06d1ecf884f349bb6ce686
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frederico Ferreira Silvaof Harry Wendelken, Frederico Ferreira Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Harry Wendelken | 9c | 6,500$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.74 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…f0a0backed Harry Wendelken | 13c | 3,860$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Harry Wendelken | 10c | 3,631$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.28 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 77c | 2,607$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.89 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Harry Wendelken | 9c | 2,464$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.17 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Harry Wendelken | 9c | 2,332$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.89 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Harry Wendelken | 9c | 1,764$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.24 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Harry Wendelken | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Harry Wendelken | 26c | 387.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 75c | 308.61$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Harry Wendelken | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 75c | 296.45$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…0f1ebacked Harry Wendelken | 25c | 288.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Harry Wendelken | 8c | 231.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 76c | 213.47$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Harry Wendelken | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Harry Wendelken | 24c | 193.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Harry Wendelken | 25c | 179.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Harry Wendelken | 26c | 117.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 75c | 108$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 75c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 72c | 92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 74c | 87.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Harry Wendelken | 12c | 81.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Harry Wendelken | 33c | 48.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Harry Wendelken | 25c | 42.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…c30ebacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 75c | 42.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Harry Wendelken | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 76c | 39.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…23f1backed Frederico Ferreira Silva | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.