South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21115ec3fcdc7051b5ee59d3f942e1074737287376e8dab75730be5f8b6970dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 66c | 3,235$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.98 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 2,988$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.61 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 70c | 1,660$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.78 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 66c | 659.46$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.1 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 64c | 366.61$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.98 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 30c | 288.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 25c | 276.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 21c | 272.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 21c | 256.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 28c | 236.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 236.28$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.9 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 47c | 225.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 24c | 198.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.11 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 30c | 180.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 35c | 158.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 35c | 158.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 35c | 158.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 51c | 153.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 27c | 123.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 76c | 112.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.56 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 59c | 99.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 33c | 99.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 24c | 97.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 35c | 93.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 32c | 86.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbc…f670backed Yes | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 31c | 70.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…c30ebacked Yes | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 30c | 60.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 30c | 60.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 30c | 60.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 29c | 58.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3365…a5b0backed Yes | 26c | 48.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 31c | 44.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked No | 31c | 44.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 33c | 40.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 38.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 57c | 36.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 33c | 35.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed No | 36c | 27.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?No won
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.