Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc220fdc68b5aa23c11d51b2b63bdd56c9615e4166674e40b155dbd61265a19c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paulof Ruud, Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Paul | 45c | 15,441$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,441.47 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Paul | 44c | 11,000$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,159.97 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Ruud | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.99 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Ruud | 56c | 4,970$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,783.07 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Ruud | 55c | 3,588$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,973.55 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Ruud | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Ruud | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Paul | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Ruud | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Ruud | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Ruud | 44c | 999.71$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.87 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Paul | 56c | 858.63$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.8 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ruud | 23c | 799.68$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.44 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ruud | 56c | 793.68$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.31 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Ruud | 56c | 700$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Ruud | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Ruud | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Ruud | 56c | 506.68$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.74 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked Ruud | 55c | 448.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.34 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.35per pick | 62cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ruud | 54c | 422.17$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.06 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Ruud | 55c | 364$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Ruud | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Paul | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Paul | 45c | 244.44$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Ruud | 56c | 187.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Ruud | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Ruud | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Ruud | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b6…ae5dbacked Ruud | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…2d49backed Ruud | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Ruud | 59c | 161.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…53bbbacked Paul | 44c | 135.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Ruud | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Ruud | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…ab90backed Paul | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Ruud | 56c | 110.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ruud | 57c | 100.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Ruud | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Ruud | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…780ebacked Ruud | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Paul | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Paul | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ruud | 26c | 55.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…351abacked Ruud | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Paul | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Paul | 41c | 47.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Ruud | 30c | 43.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked Ruud | 46c | 42.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Ruud | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Ruud | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Ruud | 53c | 26.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Paul | 45c | 25.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Ruud | 57c | 21.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 256 | 59%151 W · 105 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Ruud | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Ruud | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Ruud | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Ruud | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…2209backed Ruud | 59c | 17.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)this page
- Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Casper Ruud vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 4.5Over 4.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy PaulCasper Ruud won
- Ruud vs. Paul: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Ruud vs. Paul: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs PaulPaul won
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-2.5) vs Paul (+2.5)Paul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.