Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd309dbe59070f44f62145a2b393559c5ea322d0128d64ace917ad2f65e0e4466
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniuses Academyof NRG Academy, Evil Geniuses Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3522…188fbacked NRG Academy | 58c | 25,490$14,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,773.83 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 42c | 25,424$10,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,730.21 | 548 | 51.1%280 W · 268 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9be…e5d1backed NRG Academy | 1c | 2,155$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NRG Academy | 7c | 1,493$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 465 | 26.7%124 W · 341 L | -25.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NRG Academy | 41c | 1,050$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.26 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed NRG Academy | 67c | 734.74$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.01 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed NRG Academy | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked NRG Academy | 16c | 670.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 57c | 588.7$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.03 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 69c | 452.94$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked NRG Academy | 28c | 366.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.37 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed NRG Academy | 56c | 358.47$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.35 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 72c | 350.77$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG Academy | 58c | 305$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.85 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked NRG Academy | 34c | 282.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11cc…4817backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 72c | 274.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked NRG Academy | 31c | 258.61$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed NRG Academy | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.22 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked NRG Academy | 19c | 244.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 43c | 241.45$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 66c | 207.37$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 57c | 205.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.85 | 235 | 63.4%149 W · 86 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c19…6303backed NRG Academy | 58c | 184.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NRG Academy | 35c | 169.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked NRG Academy | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked NRG Academy | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 75c | 158.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…1b6ebacked NRG Academy | 26c | 155.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…092ebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 72c | 136.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 31c | 117.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed NRG Academy | 53c | 109.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.36 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NRG Academy | 28c | 93.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed NRG Academy | 28c | 89.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 42c | 88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 42c | 83.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG Academy | 28c | 82.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed NRG Academy | 20c | 82.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 31c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…ed25backed NRG Academy | 28c | 79.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 68c | 76.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 56c | 75.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 66c | 59.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdce…f678backed NRG Academy | 36c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 68c | 55.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 71c | 54.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 56c | 52.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed NRG Academy | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 256 | 45.3%116 W · 140 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 73c | 49.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 346 | 71.1%246 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked NRG Academy | 29c | 47.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked NRG Academy | 27c | 45.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc66e…d4bebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 43c | 44.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 40c | 43.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NRG Academy | 27c | 43.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b3…cbe0backed NRG Academy | 55c | 35.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked NRG Academy | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab5f…f76ebacked NRG Academy | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…34b9backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 60c | 32.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…097ebacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 68c | 30.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 47c | 22.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 1 WinnerEvil Geniuses Academy won
- Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 WinnerEvil Geniuses Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.