Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61feea52d449523135702cfa5bd8e2e4446f090d77fcb9eaee1fd936e47df1ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Udinese Calcioof Como 1907, Udinese Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Udinese Calcio | 71c | 11,290$7,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.58 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Como 1907 | 30c | 9,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Udinese Calcio | 79c | 2,151$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.81 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Como 1907 | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Como 1907 | 32c | 1,176$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.04 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Como 1907 | 33c | 959.8$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.73 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Como 1907 | 31c | 686.73$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.89 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Como 1907 | 13c | 654.23$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Como 1907 | 33c | 581.7$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.96 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Como 1907 | 32c | 386.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed Udinese Calcio | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed Udinese Calcio | 68c | 299.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Udinese Calcio | 71c | 284.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.73 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Como 1907 | 22c | 233.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Como 1907 | 14c | 233.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Udinese Calcio | 70c | 206.09$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Udinese Calcio | 69c | 202.02$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Como 1907 | 22c | 200.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…8aa7backed Udinese Calcio | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…1707backed Udinese Calcio | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Como 1907 | 30c | 199.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Como 1907 | 31c | 196.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Udinese Calcio | 70c | 192.23$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Como 1907 | 31c | 182.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Udinese Calcio | 70c | 171.31$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Como 1907 | 15c | 169.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Como 1907 | 29c | 160.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Como 1907 | 32c | 151.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589d…b958backed Como 1907 | 33c | 146.76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Udinese Calcio | 69c | 146.69$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Udinese Calcio | 68c | 140.82$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…6946backed Como 1907 | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Udinese Calcio | 67c | 113.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Udinese Calcio | 69c | 111$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Como 1907 | 27c | 107.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Como 1907 | 32c | 105.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Como 1907 | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Udinese Calcio | 70c | 98.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Udinese Calcio | 69c | 92.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Como 1907 | 30c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Udinese Calcio | 71c | 84.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Como 1907 | 31c | 75.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Udinese Calcio | 69c | 68.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Udinese Calcio | 73c | 67.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Udinese Calcio | 73c | 66.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Udinese Calcio | 74c | 64.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Udinese Calcio | 70c | 58.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Udinese Calcio | 69c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Udinese Calcio | 69c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Udinese Calcio | 70c | 51.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Udinese Calcio | 70c | 51.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Udinese Calcio | 70c | 51.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834f…266ebacked Udinese Calcio | 74c | 36.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…257cbacked Udinese Calcio | 70c | 32.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Udinese Calcio | 68c | 30.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…82e7backed Udinese Calcio | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Udinese Calcio | 72c | 22.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Udinese Calcio | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Udinese Calcio | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1c…2bf2backed Udinese Calcio | 69c | 19.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Udinese Calcio | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…a6f0backed Udinese Calcio | 69c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…887ebacked Udinese Calcio | 79c | 16.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Udinese Calcio | 67c | 15.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…a279backed Udinese Calcio | 70c | 15.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Udinese Calcio | 69c | 14.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Como 1907 won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.