Serie A · resolved market
Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9622a0c4998d947c7bc239dd241832ef54a2ff1b19018a36732b1c4fcd216c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 14,904$11,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.42 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 25c | 11,280$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,849.14 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 18c | 7,222$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.73 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 14c | 1,523$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 25c | 1,146$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.49 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 20c | 986.04$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 24c | 877.8$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.23 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 77c | 847.44$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.03 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 77c | 847.44$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.03 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 25c | 764$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 76c | 714.85$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.19 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 75c | 662.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.61 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 75c | 658.57$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 75c | 646.2$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.75 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 26c | 514.55$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 73c | 446.86$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.15 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4d…0486backed Over | 27c | 359.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 6c | 314.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 22c | 235.86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Over | 20c | 222.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 76c | 194.53$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 79c | 145.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 76c | 130.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 76c | 130.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Under | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Under | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 80c | 111.87$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 23c | 103.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Over | 11c | 101.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Over | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 24c | 63.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Under | 77c | 60.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 19c | 55.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Under | 78c | 51.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 24c | 49.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 74c | 41.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 75c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Under | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 76c | 22.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…a2ecbacked Under | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 80c | 16.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 77c | 14.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.27 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…c68bbacked Under | 80c | 13.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.74 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under | 79c | 13.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 79c | 13.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Udinese Calcio won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Udinese Calcio (-2.5)Como 1907 won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Under won
- Udinese Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.