Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c63bd5747fc2bf69453e33263eb3e9525792c9ca78cacb06c8995d37562cb76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Nigma Galaxy, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,921,054
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,382,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,921,054 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 721 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 230,913$80,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,188.39 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 146,108$42,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,224.72 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Falcons | 65c | 99,750$64,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,912.38 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Falcons | 61c | 81,306$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,306.19 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 48,945$22,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,366.96 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Falcons | 65c | 33,516$21,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,880.62 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons | 64c | 31,500$20,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,258.73 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 29,302$10,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,471.8 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 26,255$17,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,251.98 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 23,371$15,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,946.99 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f04…1fb0backed Team Falcons | 73c | 22,290$16,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,998.18 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 7c | 20,803$1,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,542.65 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Team Falcons | 42c | 19,495$8,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,401.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +171.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 19,287$6,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,451.94 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Team Falcons | 65c | 15,869$10,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,527.73 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Falcons | 66c | 15,458$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,258.09 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons | 65c | 15,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed Team Falcons | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.99 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 14,780$4,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,790.32 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8495…550ebacked Team Falcons | 70c | 14,711$10,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.1 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Falcons | 67c | 14,650$9,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,837.57 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 14,129$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.78 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Team Falcons | 64c | 13,577$8,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,942.71 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 13,357$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 13,202$4,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620.62 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 66c | 11,960$7,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,095.11 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 11,111$3,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.84 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Team Falcons | 65c | 10,852$7,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.19 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Team Falcons | 74c | 10,653$7,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.56 | 65 | 81.5%53 W · 12 L | +10.2wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Team Falcons | 67c | 10,450$6,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.9 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…91e3backed Team Falcons | 60c | 10,030$6,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,015.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 10,027$6,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.71 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Team Falcons | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed Team Falcons | 79c | 8,833$6,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.63 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…c5ebbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 8,720$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.27 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 8,317$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…9853backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 8,064$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.89 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Falcons | 67c | 7,939$5,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.77 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Falcons | 66c | 7,908$5,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.44 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Falcons | 78c | 7,523$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.4 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 7,000$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Team Falcons | 66c | 6,861$4,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.35 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…ae1ebacked Team Falcons | 66c | 6,464$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 18c | 6,255$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.63 | 245 | 42.4%104 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…de54backed Team Falcons | 66c | 6,002$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.63 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…149bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 5,939$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.04 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Team Falcons | 63c | 5,855$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.66 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Falcons | 72c | 5,614$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.38 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 5,492$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.11 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 5,487$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.52 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Team Falcons | 65c | 5,460$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.01 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…c07dbacked Team Falcons | 69c | 5,390$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.89 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 5,073$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.85 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Team Falcons | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Nigma Galaxy | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.99 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Falcons | 66c | 4,960$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.62 | 353 | 61.2%216 W · 137 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Falcons | 65c | 4,943$3,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.93 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…bce7backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 4,740$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.71 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Team Falcons | 67c | 4,499$2,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.07 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 4,464$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.1 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 4,431$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.83 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 4,400$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Falcons | 66c | 4,354$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.87 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Falcons | 71c | 4,336$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.81 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 4,244$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.33 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 4,140$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.12 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 4,015$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.29 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Team Falcons | 68c | 3,970$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.2 | 241 | 54.8%132 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 64c | 3,946$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.72 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 3,895$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.77 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 3,863$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.13 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 3,808$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.3 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Falcons | 69c | 3,333$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.23 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 65c | 3,333$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.66 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Falcons | 65c | 3,172$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.12 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Falcons | 66c | 3,168$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.53 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Team Falcons | 72c | 3,079$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.53 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 2,973$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.96 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 2,965$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.56 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…0263backed Team Falcons | 67c | 2,953$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.47 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…89bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 2,885$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.12 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Team Falcons | 73c | 2,721$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.94 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +8.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Nigma Galaxy | 1c | 2,714$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 324 | 3.1%10 W · 314 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Falcons | 62c | 2,700$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.99 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Falcons | 61c | 2,680$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.34 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team Falcons | 72c | 2,660$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.57 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…4d3dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 2,600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…315dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 2,579$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 2,567$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.47 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…a40fbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 2,508$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 2,491$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.4 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Falcons | 62c | 2,411$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.48 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,400$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons | 71c | 2,400$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…5905backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,382$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.25 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- First Blood in Game 1?Nigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.