Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46aafebdade6d5b3c5506be9fdd1c355b1fd7d95ee0d9ca8d7aac2bf844d88b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 2,133$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 46c | 2,033$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.78 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 1,859$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.95 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…fc19backed No | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 54c | 895.77$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.73 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 54c | 782.02$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.29 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 54c | 600.01$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.01 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ce…6da3backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 54c | 458.78$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.74 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 54c | 374.66$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.32 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 46c | 299.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 54c | 282.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.61 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 46c | 272$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 54c | 256$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…09a5backed No | 54c | 230$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed No | 56c | 220$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf63f…3fa7backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…e5d9backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 56c | 166$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Yes | 45c | 163.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked No | 54c | 161.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 54c | 134$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 27c | 99.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…958dbacked Yes | 27c | 98.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 55c | 77.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed No | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 35c | 69.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 75c | 66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 37c | 58.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 54c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Yes | 49c | 40.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…4367backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b01…4ac3backed Yes | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +201.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked No | 56c | 29.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cb…559ebacked Yes | 45c | 22.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 76c | 16.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Pisa SC won
- Spread: US Lecce (-2.5)Pisa SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.