Serie A · resolved market
Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca8f9eda531b519d259143209e28cbaf06ff7a1ea5d3ee546ab63a21547c4a7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 1c | 9,837$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 3,507$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 17c | 3,408$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.09 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 17c | 2,167$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.85 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 1,908$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.22 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 16c | 1,261$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.76 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 9c | 1,107$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 12c | 481$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 16c | 360.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 306.52$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.63 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 18c | 277.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 48c | 271.37$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 23c | 263.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 19c | 209.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Over | 49c | 204.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 23.5%20 W · 65 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 73c | 137.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.01 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Over | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Over | 18c | 102.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 16c | 99.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Under | 80c | 83.96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…2f38backed Over | 47c | 63.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 38.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 60c | 36.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 52c | 34.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked Under | 49c | 28.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Under | 79c | 15.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 3.5this page
- Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-1.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: Pisa SC (-2.5)US Lecce won
- Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)Pisa SC won
- Spread: US Lecce (-2.5)Pisa SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.