Tennis · resolved market
Will Learner Tien win the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournament
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fb6a69fac1ce06db208c4875f2f73517bffe9eac93e508927171ed1e42f4b1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 40c | 3,258$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.33 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…958dbacked No | 1c | 2,001$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 77c | 1,692$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.01 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 60c | 1,325$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.02 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Yes | 59c | 692.23$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.09 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 58c | 519$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.98 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…a45dbacked Yes | 59c | 386.97$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.66 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +190.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 18c | 170.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 47c | 106.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x092f…252ebacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 18c | 92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae04…7411backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed Yes | 78c | 51.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 161 | 50.3%81 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed No | 54c | 23.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Learner Tien win the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles Tournamentthis page
- Will Alexander Blockx win the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles TournamentNo won
- Will Dino Prizmic win the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles TournamentNo won
- Will Nishesh Basavareddy win the 2025 ATP Next Gen Finals Men’s Singles TournamentNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.