Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x230f73fc5f12ae6fef0e0647903ee8ddf587cdc03dfe70048faa510888c4e86e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6d0…9b55backed Over | 73c | 7,855$5,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 12c | 5,691$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.22 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 4,191$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.27 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 73c | 668.3$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 23c | 601.74$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 23c | 361.91$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 187.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Over | 80c | 151.1$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 23c | 147$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 77c | 135.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2309…2a24backed Over | 72c | 113.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 77c | 105.26$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 77c | 101.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 78c | 81.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 15c | 75.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 25c | 44.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…ba52backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ac…cec0backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e43…bfc4backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 77c | 17.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 74c | 16.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5this page
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.