Serie A · resolved market
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbefadbd1e0a1fee38604c1d365bdb6d3ff55ac86e09312932dfcd50c784d6209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Internazionale Milanoof FC Internazionale Milano, SS Lazio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed FC Internazionale Milano | 20c | 3,629$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.92 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SS Lazio | 80c | 1,498$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.86 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked FC Internazionale Milano | 79c | 631.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked SS Lazio | 11c | 327.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +78%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Internazionale Milano | 28c | 315.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.56 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed SS Lazio | 7c | 313.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +275.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked FC Internazionale Milano | 10c | 171.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.4 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SS Lazio | 73c | 121.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed FC Internazionale Milano | 51c | 110.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SS Lazio | 33c | 69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FC Internazionale Milano | 44c | 67.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 162 | 19.1%31 W · 131 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed SS Lazio | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed SS Lazio | 63c | 27.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…4ebdbacked FC Internazionale Milano | 41c | 26.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SS Lazio | 50c | 23.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SS Lazio | 56c | 22.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)this page
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Under won
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.