Serie A · resolved market
SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75d0901a15e7d627d903c75b974995cb1bca760735d91e3f430721816535dea6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 57c | 13,210$7,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,745.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 43c | 12,089$5,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,237.23 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 11,233$7,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,871.79 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 67c | 7,980$5,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.68 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 32c | 4,312$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.73 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 31c | 2,499$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.64 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 73c | 2,046$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.73 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Under | 60c | 1,105$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.56 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 62c | 1,026$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.92 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 559.09$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.95 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 411.11$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Over | 38c | 402.45$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 31c | 389.52$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 377.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 68c | 313.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 69c | 311.64$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 276.77$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.85 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…b5efbacked Under | 77c | 218.18$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Over | 28c | 210.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…2f15backed Under | 71c | 173.96$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Under | 57c | 172.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 61c | 152$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 31c | 130$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 30c | 104.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 66c | 74.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 66c | 72.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 61c | 72.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 69c | 62.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d44…9f3bbacked Under | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 28c | 52.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 24c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 61c | 49.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 66c | 47.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 61c | 46.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…ed09backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Over | 27c | 44.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…007abacked Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 39.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 63c | 39.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 33c | 36.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Under | 71c | 35.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 210 | 54.3%114 W · 96 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 70c | 26.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed Under | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 70c | 18.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 70c | 17.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 72c | 17.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 69c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed Under | 69c | 15.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 69c | 15.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5this page
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Over won
- SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
- Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)FC Internazionale Milano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.