TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe024…0762

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst AI at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$781Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28%+$219
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.67
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$191.99
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.96
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$323.97
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$655.34
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.02
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+28.2%+$66
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$55.48
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.4
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+259.5%+$627.99
SA20: Paarl Royals vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1)backed Paarl Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
SA20: Sunrisers Eastern Cape vs MI Cape Town (Game 1)backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)backed Hobart Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$117.81
SA20: Paarl Royals vs Durban's Super Giants (Game 1)backed Paarl Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+140.7%+$225.04
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$45.19
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$740
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovicbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.1
HSBC Championships: Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$181
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$414.73
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+175.2%+$381.99
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$164
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$596.28
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-67.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "SpaceX" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.89
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$190.3
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$286.35
Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.35
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$31.88
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+25%+$4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$5
Will Sam Altman say "Car" or "Tesla" on The Tonight Show on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$555.51
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+440.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+440.9%+$440.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$4.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Zarichne by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Johnson & Johnson say "Administration" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$49.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.