Cricket · resolved market
SA20: Sunrisers Eastern Cape vs MI Cape Town (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78eade64fecb1e4e71794625e2da5c331633cbddd2cda98f05bfe2f320f5aaa1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunrisers Eastern Capeof Sunrisers Eastern Cape, MI Cape Town
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MI Cape Town | 0c | 3,680$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed MI Cape Town | 17c | 1,481$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.19 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 58c | 699.2$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.56 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed MI Cape Town | 27c | 696.39$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.79 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd65…fcfabacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 75c | 585.69$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.42 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked MI Cape Town | 19c | 484.72$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed MI Cape Town | 12c | 479.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 53c | 313.95$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.8 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed MI Cape Town | 45c | 267.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed MI Cape Town | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 28c | 178$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed MI Cape Town | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…27e5backed MI Cape Town | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed MI Cape Town | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed MI Cape Town | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 66c | 104.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed MI Cape Town | 42c | 101.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked MI Cape Town | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe024…0762backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed MI Cape Town | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…e529backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 80c | 99.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a7…1493backed MI Cape Town | 26c | 75.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed MI Cape Town | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed MI Cape Town | 29c | 68.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…ba41backed MI Cape Town | 37c | 62.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…6c62backed MI Cape Town | 39c | 61.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed MI Cape Town | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…261fbacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 77c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed MI Cape Town | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7408…cf2ebacked MI Cape Town | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5535…81b4backed MI Cape Town | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…8a3abacked MI Cape Town | 39c | 45.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x152b…9430backed MI Cape Town | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed MI Cape Town | 51c | 39.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…fdb5backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…1ef4backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed MI Cape Town | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 69c | 29.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799a…f4d0backed MI Cape Town | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 69c | 22.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…0c51backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 69c | 16.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…43afbacked Sunrisers Eastern Cape | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.