Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Jong vs Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91b17ea7712dda67a482027de314b0b8018c7625cfaf05355e95907af82f6b93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Jong, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jong | 46c | 1,420$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.81 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Zverev | 56c | 999.96$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.98 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Zverev | 40c | 989.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.13 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…a4c4backed Zverev | 78c | 897.56$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.56 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Zverev | 70c | 774.74$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.75 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Jong | 32c | 682.69$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.38 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Jong | 76c | 615.08$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zverev | 80c | 589.71$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Jong | 18c | 585.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jong | 53c | 537.39$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.51 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Jong | 43c | 484.43$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jong | 36c | 366.85$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…a2ebbacked Zverev | 60c | 364.11$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…cc1bbacked Zverev | 63c | 341.57$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Jong | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Zverev | 77c | 316.88$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Zverev | 35c | 284.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.17 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Zverev | 60c | 279.92$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jong | 39c | 260.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Jong | 21c | 208.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Zverev | 63c | 202.24$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…90ccbacked Zverev | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jong | 46c | 188.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Zverev | 58c | 187.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Zverev | 39c | 182.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.05 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Zverev | 60c | 162.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…13d1backed Jong | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Zverev | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jong | 19c | 147$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Zverev | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb0…e116backed Zverev | 66c | 141.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jong | 35c | 138.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Jong | 53c | 115.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Jong | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Jong | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…0db2backed Jong | 39c | 112$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Jong | 44c | 106.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Jong | 44c | 102.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…6c9dbacked Jong | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Zverev | 37c | 99.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.69 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…ade6backed Zverev | 75c | 93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…43e8backed Zverev | 62c | 90.21$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Jong | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Zverev | 43c | 84.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb93…294abacked Zverev | 67c | 78.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Jong | 44c | 77.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Zverev | 34c | 77.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0319…db1abacked Jong | 67c | 74.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jong | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Jong | 65c | 63.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Jong | 46c | 61.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Zverev | 39c | 59.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Zverev | 49c | 57.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8249…9169backed Zverev | 44c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…e7e7backed Jong | 70c | 43.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…3ccebacked Zverev | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…d4d7backed Jong | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Zverev | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…4a3abacked Zverev | 66c | 31.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…18bcbacked Zverev | 63c | 30.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Zverev | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Zverev | 53c | 23.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…e2e2backed Jong | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…5ea8backed Zverev | 65c | 18.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…499cbacked Jong | 71c | 17.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Zverev | 70c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Jong vs Zverevthis page
- Jesper de Jong vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Jesper de Jong vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Jong vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Jong vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Jong (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jong (+2.5)Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.