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Golf · resolved market

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Travelers Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$169,896
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,983

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,896 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3d2…fe85backed Yes30c18,138$5,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,355.8430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No33c14,974$4,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,075.975151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No22c12,294$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,607.881637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes50c10,045$5,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,052.695030%15 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf006…bb6cbacked No77c8,971$6,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.579554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba96…71d6backed Yes72c6,951$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes48c6,211$2,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,983.784910.2%5 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-77.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes55c5,594$3,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.0322546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes20c5,062$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0202114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked No43c5,000$2,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.941631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-42.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes60c4,145$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500230%0 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed No37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Yes57c3,510$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.69812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-82.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Yes55c3,495$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.711050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed No52c3,410$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.41650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ec…0931backed Yes18c3,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+147.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed No70c2,733$1,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.771526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No44c2,160$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No48c2,063$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.227441.9%31 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb2c…4b43backed Yes66c1,943$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.85560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No54c1,805$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.425749.4%127 W · 130 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f1…91bdbacked Yes32c1,750$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes63c1,703$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.8923319.3%45 W · 188 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No44c1,670$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No52c1,668$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.7560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No18c1,432$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.7413939.6%55 W · 84 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes69c1,430$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.725666.1%37 W · 19 L+11.0wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+122.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x40d5…acd1backed Yes48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.387529.3%22 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes54c1,186$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.94918.4%9 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca33…918cbacked No43c1,084$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked No44c1,026$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.34825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No18c982.77$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.166445.3%29 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x671a…2f1ebacked No33c925.07$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No41c909.59$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.061931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes59c865.33$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.51650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+93.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes44c859.03$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.266543.1%28 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes30c830.42$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No37c783.75$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.161844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No40c751.78$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.818855.7%49 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed No67c671.24$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5612257.4%70 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed No40c658.73$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.055133.3%17 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No50c658.51$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.081050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5874…64c3backed Yes56c594.64$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No46c546.99$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b5…68e1backed Yes55c545.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Yes54c511$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c01…d612backed Yes69c500.04$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.18714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-77%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x226a…258abacked Yes57c500$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes52c468.63$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.323414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed No32c451.5$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.59746.8%5 W · 69 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed No45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc81f…656ebacked Yes18c428.89$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-85.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No44c412.35$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+63.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Yes60c401.1$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.621030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad3f…a377backed Yes50c396$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-59.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Yes56c395.69$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+136.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No45c392.56$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes51c380.01$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.352347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes60c374.73$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.56520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed No42c334.88$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.54540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No24c333.16$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.997162%44 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes43c325.74$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.47387.9%3 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No42c316.06$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed No32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No41c303.51$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.79728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-46.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Yes19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-77.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x077c…8b1fbacked No37c260$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe87…062abacked Yes58c259.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8768…dd9bbacked No30c259.01$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe112…ae59backed Yes70c233.3$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3180%0 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes60c226.77$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc30f…b556backed Yes63c216.03$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e33…8732backed Yes58c207.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35d…c048backed No30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Yes71c199.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.992425%6 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No49c193$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Yes59c190.94$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113382.6%1 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick13cpaid-95.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…1c6dbacked Yes58c182.93$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes61c182.44$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.79450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66df…9811backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008319.3%16 W · 67 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f5…24adbacked Yes31c174.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-33.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Yes62c169.49$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No42c169.45$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.355639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5136…0e4fbacked No34c168.68$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.331163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe01e…db1fbacked Yes19c157.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb0…bd65backed No56c155.97$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Yes60c141.67$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0360…0f51backed Yes71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No45c140$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed No45c139$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.451471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0110…af5dbacked Yes58c137.91$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-63.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes56c134.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.718646.2%86 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No52c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes17c124.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.92540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-46.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed Yes66c119.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.283836.8%14 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Yes58c117.81$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x140b…d0d9backed Yes68c108.35$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3840%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No38c108$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1b…aa6cbacked No70c101.43$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.