TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will UConn win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61ad…915dbacked Yes70c4,542$3,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,166.193151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Yes69c3,028$2,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,087.613336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b89…0d9cbacked Yes61c2,909$1,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.45757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No27c2,456$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.8142948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No42c1,655$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.3627955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc14f…7d8dbacked Yes67c1,604$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0712352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Yes64c1,242$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.1120642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes66c1,126$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.742733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes61c1,116$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.7118147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No31c1,111$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.33976.9%30 W · 9 L+8.7wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+58.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No34c1,105$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.2933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…a403backed No33c1,104$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.791650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed No36c989.57$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.033145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked No34c916$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes67c894.48$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.251145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfde5…676cbacked Yes66c867.79$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.151330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No38c783$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.573,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No33c655.75$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.822544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes60c651.84$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.14731.9%15 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes63c606.65$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.057540%30 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No34c570.76$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.185843.1%25 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63c6…d030backed No62c480.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes57c427.9$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.411,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No31c410.66$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.381850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed No42c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.557445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…da7fbacked Yes63c374.95$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7011…b9cfbacked Yes60c325.34$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0774…99febacked Yes61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa317…7f10backed No35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbff…3b7dbacked No35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8704…bac8backed No35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe028…02a7backed No35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa99d…0bcebacked No35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7100…8a4cbacked No35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf06…4552backed No35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87fa…de4bbacked No35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad21…6b98backed No35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03b…5a2dbacked No35c285$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f50…8341backed Yes66c273.83$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.79955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Yes75c265.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002548%12 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b94…271fbacked No35c258$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fc4…58cbbacked No35c258$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes62c240.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdad9…6b63backed Yes66c227.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.480%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e7e…5ba1backed No37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+361.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed No34c197.62$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.972729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4a…0502backed No35c181.2$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.079444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed Yes56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-50.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46b4…72e9backed No48c174.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d73…a063backed Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0861…1d1dbacked Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3f…6154backed Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…1c71backed Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…f8a1backed Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3efd…c62fbacked Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c2c…0caebacked Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda02…01c1backed Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc925…f8bebacked Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0b…276bbacked Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd349…6cb6backed Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9482…4409backed Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x621b…61e5backed Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4029…e5dbbacked Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e8fdbacked Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8b7…7ebdbacked Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5040…ab13backed Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x495f…8f44backed Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a9…0b6bbacked Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd95c…3da0backed Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea7c…07fbbacked Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x752d…00b6backed Yes65c153$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ca…8850backed Yes71c140$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaad…7e28backed No36c136$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No32c115.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.68560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid+12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes47c107.64$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0935852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6419522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Yes66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-58.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes44c92.29$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.671216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-77.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf520…af79backed No29c86.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+150.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes65c80.13$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.873652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb5a…8008backed No33c76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b0…aedcbacked No35c72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4910…b2b8backed Yes70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7786…a276backed No42c71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes66c69.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7471655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b6b…d677backed Yes58c63.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No39c59$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1629012.1%35 W · 255 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Yes59c57.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.882839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd47c…1e9fbacked Yes69c56.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.86333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No45c51.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.18742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed No29c48.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+73.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No42c46.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+103%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No30c45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No38c38.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.951450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No38c38.04$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5837835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked No40c36.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7910353.4%55 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdacf…3c74backed No39c34.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+412.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x593a…cc48backed No46c31.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5106…22e6backed No40c28.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.314100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+129.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.