TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will Texas win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,793 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65b9…1d5fbacked Yes13c14,212$1,871 inLost-$1,870.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes10c3,232$310 inLost-$309.5742948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Yes9c799.86$74 inLost-$73.84147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-91%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes8c575.38$46 inLost-$4610429.8%31 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes12c500$61 inLost-$61.367445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaad…7e28backed Yes14c351.4$50 inLost-$49.69633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…a403backed Yes9c246.15$22 inLost-$22.281650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes16c210$33 inLost-$32.55933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a0…36aabacked Yes8c204.28$16 inLost-$15.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63a…26a0backed Yes15c178.2$27 inLost-$26.71233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes11c91.05$10 inLost-$10.1137835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f9…0355backed Yes14c84$12 inLost-$11.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb454…46f7backed Yes14c80$11 inLost-$11.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c0…5021backed Yes14c80$11 inLost-$11.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ced…8dafbacked Yes14c76$11 inLost-$10.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b92…c6c4backed Yes18c73.82$14 inLost-$13.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6f…f8f4backed Yes14c72$10 inLost-$10.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.