TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Will UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,134 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes12c2,674$328 inWon+$2,346.555843.1%25 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Yes13c2,628$333 inWon+$2,295.0520642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes38c2,100$798 inWon+$1,302.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+55.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e7e…5ba1backed Yes14c1,000$140 inWon+$8603100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+361.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No62c781$484 inLost-$484.2261652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes11c604.01$66 inWon+$537.773976.9%30 W · 9 L+8.7wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+58.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes12c422.39$51 inWon+$371.277445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes47c408.97$194 inWon+$215.0827955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked No57c200$114 inLost-$1143847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f50…8341backed Yes10c137.22$14 inWon+$123.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes8c132.59$11 inWon+$121.981238.1%10 W · 113 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…6b37backed Yes43c120.26$52 inWon+$68.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a0…36aabacked Yes13c115$15 inWon+$100.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Yes15c113.59$17 inWon+$96.652729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes16c110.98$18 inWon+$92.827540%30 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes22c94.82$21 inWon+$73.741145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No76c93.42$71 inLost-$71.38560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid+12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes12c90.11$11 inWon+$79.36214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-60.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes14c84$12 inWon+$72.4418147%85 W · 96 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82d…7199backed Yes17c70.2$12 inWon+$58.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+202.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No54c60.59$33 inLost-$32.81216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-77.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x59fe…14fdbacked No66c41.16$27 inLost-$27.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133c…b5abbacked Yes79c38.86$31 inWon+$8.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.