Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will South Carolina win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29a694cb232d93e95c11c7919a98393c8ad71e7050b448656c253dc6c1d9d210
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65b9…1d5fbacked Yes | 15c | 13,316$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 9c | 2,940$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.45 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…a403backed Yes | 10c | 1,720$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,676$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 889.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 26c | 835.83$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.56 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 60c | 811.75$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.86 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Yes | 31c | 799.29$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.13 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd3…6cf5backed Yes | 59c | 690.9$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721b…f6ebbacked Yes | 10c | 504.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…bff0backed Yes | 13c | 420.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed No | 36c | 376.57$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.14 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4869…3f70backed Yes | 10c | 333.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…7e28backed Yes | 14c | 310$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 10c | 296.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…c9f6backed Yes | 9c | 289.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 52c | 276.16$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.59 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cf…404dbacked Yes | 64c | 262.52$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 10c | 232.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -91%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Yes | 13c | 208.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe151…a852backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 43c | 195.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.46 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…fc7dbacked Yes | 61c | 163.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…1e9fbacked Yes | 10c | 154.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 69c | 144.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 10c | 137.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…a5b9backed Yes | 10c | 136.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Yes | 60c | 102.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 79c | 34.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2a…b8c2backed Yes | 61c | 34.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4e…8ba5backed Yes | 68c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Carolina win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Auburn (Women’s) win the 2025–2026 SEC Regular Season?No won
- Will Duke win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Florida (Women’s) win the 2025–2026 SEC Regular Season?No won
- Will LSU win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Mississippi St. (Women’s) win the 2025–2026 SEC Regular Season?No won
- Will Missouri win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will TCU win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Texas win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?Yes won
- Will UConn win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.