TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,942
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,942 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc9b7…7984backed No11c1,178$126 inLost-$126.081225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No11c1,103$120 inLost-$120.1522546.7%105 W · 120 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No73c798.61$585 inLost-$585.094337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked No61c602.2$367 inLost-$367.336241.9%26 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No22c541.29$117 inLost-$116.987040%28 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No79c504.97$397 inLost-$396.882669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No58c456.54$266 inLost-$265.677062.9%44 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No31c406.92$126 inLost-$126.254951%25 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No52c402$209 inLost-$208.5818446.2%85 W · 99 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb185…b984backed No51c293.01$148 inLost-$148.351346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes46c278.09$128 inWon+$150.2225449.2%125 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes17c240$40 inWon+$200.3310123.8%24 W · 77 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No35c230.32$80 inLost-$79.94825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-49.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No25c223.06$55 inLost-$55.268756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No45c218.89$99 inLost-$99.54932.7%16 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes19c199.56$37 inWon+$162.138429.8%25 W · 59 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes10c166.86$17 inWon+$150.211168.6%10 W · 106 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick5cpaid+133.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes55c148.58$82 inWon+$66.993414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed No79c109.86$86 inLost-$86.354379.1%34 W · 9 L+8.6wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+42.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x24ee…4e60backed Yes37c104.21$39 inWon+$65.21714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-61.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes14c99.99$13 inWon+$86.49812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e9…6377backed Yes38c99.92$38 inWon+$61.75825%2 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+182.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes53c78$42 inWon+$36.359747.4%46 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No79c63.61$50 inLost-$501154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes67c62.55$42 inWon+$20.52352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b35…70d9backed Yes23c45.54$10 inWon+$35.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+187.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.