Golf · resolved market

Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13e11b75fefaf4d61d58b61cd3e85db4f319b03557108c0a1473898a1c9d67cb

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,281
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $10,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,281 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8105…955abacked Yes	7c	4,059$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Yes	8c	2,765$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	51	7.8%4 W · 47 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	+87.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes	6c	2,500$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.5	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes	5c	1,038$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.05	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	14c	568$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.82	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Yes	18c	428.58$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	34	14.7%5 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe42c…6bf9backed Yes	9c	416.33$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.78	50	8%4 W · 46 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	9c	361.22$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.97	184	46.2%85 W · 99 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb4…481dbacked Yes	18c	329.55$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-85.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc68c…2936backed Yes	7c	294.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	11c	277.7$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.17	295	3.7%11 W · 284 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cd…2eedbacked Yes	16c	252.18$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd63…a39abacked Yes	14c	161.67$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.24	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	14cpaid	-79.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	10c	151.64$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Sam Burns win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event