Golf · resolved market

Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x385aa069b79760b790af12c6eed17103e70afd71c3f7127df11de89c66fb84e4

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $15,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,645 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Golf
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8105…955abacked Yes	12c	3,900$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cb…ad46backed Yes	3c	3,001$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.56	51	7.8%4 W · 47 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	+87.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes	6c	2,266$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.68	225	46.7%105 W · 120 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Yes	2c	1,180$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.14	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ec…0931backed Yes	7c	1,104$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+147.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	7c	937.46$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.53	140	43.6%61 W · 79 L	+10.1wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes	7c	710.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.8	49	18.4%9 W · 40 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb4…481dbacked Yes	9c	586.24$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-85.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes	4c	546.17$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.63	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes	10c	441.4$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.7	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes	7c	433$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.31	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	8c	370.11$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	295	3.7%11 W · 284 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d0…a510backed Yes	8c	346.12$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.39	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	53cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe42c…6bf9backed Yes	3c	319.25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	50	8%4 W · 46 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae1…6abdbacked Yes	8c	209.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.26	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	21cpaid	+59.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeff4…2aa4backed Yes	7c	184.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event