TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of Monte, M80
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$492,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$661,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,222 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Monte50c149,795$74,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,897.522049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a5c…a375backed M8050c148,987$74,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,566.925238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed M8045c16,720$7,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,196.1130340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed M8042c14,953$6,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,600.024731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Monte55c10,615$5,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,837.9832348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Monte45c7,732$3,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,442.784,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Monte47c7,207$3,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,353.583,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed M8037c6,300$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,968.9784658.4%494 W · 352 L+60.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Monte59c5,650$3,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,333.786243.5%27 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Monte59c4,892$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.755947.5%28 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed M8046c4,500$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.9929858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed M8032c4,184$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,839.3936742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Monte62c3,310$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.138358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Monte65c3,273$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.778261%50 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Monte63c3,119$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.8541061%250 W · 160 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Monte65c2,974$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.8353545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Monte52c2,695$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.566,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6033…8a83backed M8047c2,656$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.6515133.1%50 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Monte58c2,517$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.0135236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd138…3140backed Monte63c2,444$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.021225%3 W · 9 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-59.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed M8047c2,196$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.8131345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56b4…c4adbacked Monte64c2,183$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,396.9313845.7%63 W · 75 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Monte75c1,921$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.7681244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed M8041c1,907$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.0527744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8c…9a80backed Monte60c1,786$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.371233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed M8035c1,764$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.6111533%38 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed M8040c1,750$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0501,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed M8038c1,750$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.055,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked M8041c1,594$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.9122838.6%88 W · 140 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Monte55c1,131$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.9119645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Monte57c1,012$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.041,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked M8036c1,011$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.4735242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43ff…a491backed Monte62c999.97$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.989554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked M8019c985.72$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.48232.9%27 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Monte55c982.37$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.364852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed M8038c963.04$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.384,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Monte42c942.06$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.682,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Monte49c938.74$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.846732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f7…7714backed M8060c894.87$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.8719048.9%93 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Monte28c876.48$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.743,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Monte57c853.88$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.3381751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed Monte63c799.97$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.9820859.6%124 W · 84 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Monte55c779.37$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.6632548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked M8046c695.35$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.564850%24 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed M8036c683.7$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.5733044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked M8043c649.35$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.211,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Monte50c644.71$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9746843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Monte55c540.16$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.0957358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed M8037c532.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.2164554.4%351 W · 294 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed M8048c508.08$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9332653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed M8036c503.59$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.4511651.7%60 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed M8050c492.59$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.331444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Monte54c486.2$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5561138.1%233 W · 378 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Monte26c477.68$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.351,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34f0…f0edbacked Monte47c447.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.61827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-46.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed M8046c445.17$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.236554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Monte25c436.67$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.032722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-60.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Monte19c436$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.813622.2%8 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Monte21c430$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1861737.9%234 W · 383 L-22.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Monte65c404.12$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6835341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed Monte55c399.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9924429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Monte74c398.28$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.35580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Monte38c367.36$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.66643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed M8040c355.21$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5330527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Monte55c354.18$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.34452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Monte55c353.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.650846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Monte15c344.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6210140.6%41 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed M8043c340.37$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.554439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef66…f839backed Monte24c317.12$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5113036.9%48 W · 82 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Monte62c315.23$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4442651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked M8056c315.21$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4260147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Monte46c312.57$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.973638.9%14 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Monte29c310$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.164439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdefd…afbcbacked Monte55c309.68$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.324942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f18…9aa7backed Monte15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Monte47c295.84$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0721536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed M8037c280$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.664555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed M8036c278.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.471,06937.8%404 W · 665 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte53c272.74$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.545,47446.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L+38.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Monte46c271.75$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.745,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Monte22c269$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9231328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked M8054c265.77$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2216146%74 W · 87 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Monte38c262.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.428844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked M8037c260.05$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.8336151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked M8049c260$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.640655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Monte23c260$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.833241.6%138 W · 194 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked M8035c257$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.051,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked Monte64c254.38$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8127041.1%111 W · 159 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa83a…34d6backed M8019c252.95$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3920332.5%66 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed M8039c251.16$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2719653.1%104 W · 92 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed M8051c247.48$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.34953.1%26 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Monte54c243.1$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.279443.6%41 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd067…9b9abacked Monte50c240.94$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5145663.6%290 W · 166 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Monte62c240$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.828549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c7…e8a3backed M8075c239.64$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb64c…393dbacked Monte43c234.69$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.759246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4092…f145backed Monte50c232.59$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.485650%28 W · 28 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed M8036c224.37$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.611247.3%53 W · 59 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+16.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked M8047c221.96$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.881,15448.3%557 W · 597 L+4.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked M8044c219.33$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6812746.5%59 W · 68 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.