CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c18f4f91b14e73b72b75822a7d7620f609cc83ad31efc5956172fdcec906164
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of Monte, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,442
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,442 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Monte | 37c | 916.31$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.87 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Monte | 40c | 523.02$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.37 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed M80 | 63c | 506.11$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.26 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed M80 | 64c | 459.48$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.98 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked M80 | 60c | 390.4$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked M80 | 63c | 158.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Monte | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed M80 | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.04 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Monte | 37c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Monte | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Monte | 49c | 55.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked M80 | 63c | 46.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed M80 | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Monte | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…5308backed M80 | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked M80 | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked M80 | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerMonte won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.