CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf3244f829694c8b450dc9d532c528ad5c772bde1bd34f12537ae7f09efb3676
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of Monte, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Monte | 66c | 2,979$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.91 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Monte | 25c | 2,207$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.3 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Monte | 13c | 1,741$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.27 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed M80 | 53c | 1,738$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.29 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Monte | 70c | 1,216$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.83 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked M80 | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…4d93backed Monte | 23c | 976.33$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.68 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Monte | 39c | 947.35$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.54 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked M80 | 41c | 649$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.91 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Monte | 57c | 625.02$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.52 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed M80 | 47c | 619.56$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.12 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed M80 | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed M80 | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked M80 | 30c | 497.17$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.02 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed M80 | 39c | 493.89$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.2 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked M80 | 35c | 480.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.33 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed Monte | 20c | 476$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked M80 | 35c | 432.25$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.59 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Monte | 52c | 419.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.39 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked Monte | 67c | 414.18$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.57 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Monte | 29c | 395.25$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.67 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed M80 | 53c | 362.28$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked M80 | 40c | 308.87$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.38 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed Monte | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Monte | 17c | 273.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Monte | 64c | 239.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Monte | 17c | 234.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Monte | 45c | 234.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd043…50c8backed Monte | 56c | 222.4$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.34 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 46c | 216.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed Monte | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Monte | 64c | 197.07$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed M80 | 32c | 196.54$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Monte | 57c | 189.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Monte | 36c | 181.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.79 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…895cbacked Monte | 55c | 180.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.73 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Monte | 14c | 176.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…5049backed Monte | 14c | 144.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed M80 | 35c | 137.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.24 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed M80 | 49c | 135.34$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte | 27c | 128.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Monte | 18c | 95.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Monte | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed M80 | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Monte | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed M80 | 38c | 60.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Monte | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Monte | 18c | 57.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked M80 | 35c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked M80 | 32c | 43.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Monte | 38c | 41.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked Monte | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…2eefbacked M80 | 52c | 34.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed Monte | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked M80 | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Monte | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc3…ee0bbacked Monte | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Monte | 48c | 21.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerMonte won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.