CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe56158e4183648be07672db458cfb930051bf7e65fb454569c3f67c14592d74d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof Monte, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,233
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Monte | 48c | 5,447$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.56 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked M80 | 36c | 3,264$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.05 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed M80 | 61c | 3,105$1,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.32 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked M80 | 35c | 3,079$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.85 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…311dbacked Monte | 67c | 2,016$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.28 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 32c | 1,992$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.97 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked M80 | 67c | 1,808$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.3 | 659 | 50.4%332 W · 327 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…394ebacked M80 | 49c | 1,294$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed M80 | 45c | 1,287$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.23 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Monte | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed M80 | 27c | 957.05$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.69 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc110…f3eabacked Monte | 53c | 885.86$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.49 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Monte | 46c | 796.26$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.85 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Monte | 47c | 518.88$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.87 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Monte | 47c | 498.88$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.55 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked M80 | 36c | 432.39$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.31 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked M80 | 48c | 405.59$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.73 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…2568backed Monte | 78c | 380.41$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Monte | 36c | 376.57$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.96 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked M80 | 65c | 375.71$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.19 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed M80 | 29c | 373.68$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Monte | 76c | 364.66$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.52 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed M80 | 49c | 354.33$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.6 | 548 | 39.8%218 W · 330 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…6bdbbacked Monte | 52c | 319.31$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.24 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Monte | 40c | 304.91$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.95 | 229 | 38.4%88 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked M80 | 58c | 301.31$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.67 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked M80 | 47c | 297.72$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.93 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed Monte | 35c | 284.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed M80 | 41c | 251.22$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…afbcbacked Monte | 41c | 237.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked M80 | 54c | 234.78$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.78 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Monte | 53c | 231.29$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd043…50c8backed M80 | 41c | 228.31$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Monte | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf32…895cbacked M80 | 35c | 207.65$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.01 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Monte | 76c | 195.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Monte | 60c | 172.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Monte | 45c | 155.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Monte | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -12.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Monte | 75c | 145.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 357 | 49.9%178 W · 179 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c92…5567backed M80 | 31c | 139.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked M80 | 8c | 137.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked M80 | 32c | 135.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Monte | 48c | 121.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.09 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed M80 | 11c | 115.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…b0e0backed Monte | 59c | 112.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Monte | 50c | 108.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…f1c6backed M80 | 31c | 100.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed M80 | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 48.9%93 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed M80 | 43c | 96.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Monte | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed M80 | 50c | 96.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…6d09backed M80 | 50c | 93.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed M80 | 43c | 74.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed M80 | 53c | 59.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 592 | 62.2%368 W · 224 L | +21.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked M80 | 41c | 56.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…1c4abacked M80 | 71c | 55.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Monte | 48c | 51.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Monte | 40c | 50.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…1e8bbacked M80 | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…5792backed M80 | 43c | 48.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed M80 | 38c | 46.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed M80 | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed M80 | 67c | 39.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 526 | 49%258 W · 268 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Monte | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked M80 | 43c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Monte | 35c | 33.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed M80 | 41c | 29.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -9.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked M80 | 63c | 29.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed M80 | 54c | 26.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab1…86e3backed Monte | 54c | 25.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Monte | 58c | 23.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.