Golf · resolved market
Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b392df5a4b3c49f3c9872e8e4f9077d17cca703b464a2b0ac07c168a3a00a64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $809,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $809,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ddf…ab10backed Yes | 1c | 77,777$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.32 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Yes | 1c | 55,224$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 1c | 47,314$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.89 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b77…2eb0backed Yes | 1c | 45,450$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.46 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 2c | 30,149$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.34 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 1c | 22,144$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.64 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Yes | 1c | 17,432$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 56 | 0%0 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203c…1a98backed Yes | 1c | 11,277$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 1c | 10,789$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…9728backed Yes | 1c | 10,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 1c | 10,371$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9faf…778cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,746$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 1c | 6,463$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.02 | 68 | 7.4%5 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 1c | 5,901$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b79…7324backed Yes | 1c | 5,009$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f81…64b0backed Yes | 1c | 4,531$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 5c | 4,093$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.05 | 67 | 1.5%1 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -94%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…71e0backed Yes | 1c | 4,063$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…d5d5backed Yes | 1c | 4,042$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 3,953$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 3,783$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 3,714$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Yes | 0c | 3,712$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34bc…f9f6backed Yes | 2c | 3,608$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91eb…da31backed Yes | 1c | 3,600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…5936backed Yes | 1c | 3,559$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a66…e153backed Yes | 1c | 3,204$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 1c | 3,154$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…3b2bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,149$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 2c | 3,100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d79…268fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,077$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377a…52f1backed Yes | 1c | 2,717$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…8a59backed Yes | 1c | 2,662$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 1c | 2,654$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597a…5df0backed Yes | 1c | 2,603$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,453$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 8.6%10 W · 106 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…d0b8backed Yes | 1c | 2,275$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…fa82backed Yes | 1c | 2,262$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf96…82a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,257$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2b…36e4backed Yes | 1c | 2,085$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b51…afb7backed Yes | 2c | 2,043$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d8…01e9backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 1c | 1,970$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa23…71abbacked Yes | 1c | 1,861$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…555abacked Yes | 1c | 1,861$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,843$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3a…a701backed Yes | 1c | 1,801$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0231…45d0backed Yes | 2c | 1,765$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 82 | 9.8%8 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8646…ed78backed Yes | 1c | 1,751$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0af…917cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,711$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,610$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31d…4edfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,565$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7617…9e8dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,557$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x360f…f715backed Yes | 1c | 1,485$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 1c | 1,350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea9…b8b6backed Yes | 1c | 1,237$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f0…bf7dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,204$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b06…061ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,166$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b78…324ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,153$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb514…d8fbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,123$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…1c1fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,085$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…9f5abacked Yes | 1c | 962$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4f…a6e6backed Yes | 1c | 846.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ad…c78fbacked Yes | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…cd0ebacked Yes | 2c | 700$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…9e93backed Yes | 2c | 519.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 94. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament?this page
- Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Alexander Noren win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Billy Horschel win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Brian Campbell win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Bubba Watson win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Byeong Hun An win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Casey Jarvis win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Charl Schwartzel win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Denny McCarthy win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Dustin Johnson win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Fred Couples win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Hao-Tong Li win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Harry Hall win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Joaquin Niemann win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Kurt Kitayama win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Max Greyserman win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Michael Kim win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Naoyuki Kataoka win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Nick Taylor win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
- Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.