Golf · resolved market
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bd5bed09bc864300a117a766decd9ef239c624211b48c507bf1f266deb73a37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5eb…c512backed Yes | 23c | 3,094$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.53 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Yes | 12c | 2,813$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.39 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 23c | 2,603$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.14 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Yes | 13c | 2,338$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes | 27c | 2,251$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 72c | 1,917$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55d…6984backed Yes | 13c | 1,573$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 79c | 1,347$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.86 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 78c | 1,314$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.34 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1616…1c4ebacked Yes | 15c | 671.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 24c | 507.74$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed Yes | 17c | 503.56$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 10c | 489.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…0931backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…a1edbacked Yes | 21c | 393.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.26 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 21c | 360$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -23.7wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…7f8dbacked Yes | 16c | 265.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yes | 12c | 185.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…a377backed Yes | 27c | 172.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 78c | 145.79$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bd…9a33backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 15c | 107.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cce…91f7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…9e93backed Yes | 23c | 93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42c…6bf9backed Yes | 17c | 87.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 50 | 8%4 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 17c | 82.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 78c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 20c | 75.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…3646backed No | 33c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?this page
- Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Garrick Higgo win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Ludvig Åberg win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Mac Meissner win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?Yes won
- Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.