Golf · resolved market
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda9f75d117ec992c4f5d57b4833a27db4724b8679ec8de04d30cd4eeb1397f74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Golf | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f73…bb9ebacked No | 0c | 15,924$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 19c | 4,685$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.04 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…9a01backed Yes | 10c | 1,690$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 53c | 1,442$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.7 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 77c | 1,433$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.59 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 9c | 1,054$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.4 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…2072backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…8d01backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Yes | 5c | 970$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.5 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…4b43backed Yes | 71c | 763.24$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 45c | 715$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.81 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -23.7wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x294e…4982backed Yes | 8c | 678.56$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 61c | 637.61$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.17 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…9699backed Yes | 10c | 575.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.1 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1616…1c4ebacked Yes | 10c | 500.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.3 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab4…5a40backed Yes | 59c | 341.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes | 30c | 220.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 44c | 190.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.82 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Yes | 7c | 147.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 101 | 23.8%24 W · 77 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +44%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 66c | 117$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Yes | 17c | 102.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 16c | 82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 38c | 66.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 225 | 46.7%105 W · 120 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Yes | 46c | 32.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 48c | 31.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?this page
- Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Garrick Higgo win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Gary Woodland win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Ludvig Åberg win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Mac Meissner win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
- Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.