TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs 1WIN (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
1WINof BET-M 33, 1WIN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,704
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,704 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a14…d748backed 1WIN69c3,411$2,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.757358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed BET-M 3331c1,619$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.35,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 1WIN63c1,252$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.577,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BET-M 3330c995.86$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.464,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 1WIN73c990.91$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.194,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa5…e615backed 1WIN76c944.49$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.053568.6%24 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked BET-M 3337c877$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9114742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed BET-M 3329c769.8$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0230527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed BET-M 3324c717.7$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3711133.3%37 W · 74 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed BET-M 3325c652.33$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.323072.6%167 W · 63 L+27.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN69c603.02$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.26,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked BET-M 3332c595.63$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.611636.2%42 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed BET-M 3336c555$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.850043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed BET-M 3329c500.09$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0326743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed BET-M 3317c491.54$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9717444.3%77 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked BET-M 3347c391.45$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.920358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked BET-M 3330c367.32$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.763,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed 1WIN67c327.69$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1416349.1%80 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f75…df7fbacked 1WIN75c216.7$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed 1WIN64c190.11$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.581,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked BET-M 3327c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8120145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed BET-M 3330c158.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9515930.8%49 W · 110 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a7…4a91backed BET-M 3330c154.21$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed 1WIN74c133.52$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14070%28 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked 1WIN71c131.96$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.271,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed 1WIN60c128.8$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9151755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed BET-M 3330c113.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4476248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed 1WIN62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5545224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed 1WIN62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5564439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed BET-M 3341c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4131731.9%101 W · 216 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed 1WIN74c98.44$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5924457%139 W · 105 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed 1WIN68c96.64$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9222256.8%126 W · 96 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed 1WIN75c85.35$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.649376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xcd7e…d68fbacked BET-M 3329c80.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.38653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab48…612dbacked 1WIN74c75.55$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.649557.9%55 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe900…1d32backed BET-M 3314c74.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.584030%12 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed 1WIN75c71.86$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.791,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked BET-M 3347c68.12$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0210247.1%48 W · 54 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc806…3f62backed BET-M 3331c55.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.381241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e00…9e93backed BET-M 3321c53.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.432060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed 1WIN73c48.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9967372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed BET-M 3347c47.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5120556.6%116 W · 89 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN57c46.94$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.045,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked 1WIN72c44.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.381,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked 1WIN64c43.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4838858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed 1WIN66c39.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5441848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9010…df3ebacked 1WIN73c36.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.657580%60 W · 15 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4048…d4adbacked BET-M 3342c34.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.564820.8%10 W · 38 L-8.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-54.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x382d…eb3abacked 1WIN73c33.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0925250.4%127 W · 125 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed BET-M 3342c30.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.872,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 1WIN64c30.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.744,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked 1WIN55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.636334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe67d…573dbacked 1WIN78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe23…2041backed 1WIN62c17.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.784643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81fe…4089backed 1WIN64c15.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.671553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.