CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1c7543466999ac142e8f371075a6518cae24dfcb5f6bc6058d1bba8340b15ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1WINof BET-M 33, 1WIN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 1WIN | 47c | 1,871$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.85 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 1WIN | 49c | 1,145$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.43 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 1WIN | 49c | 1,107$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.23 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed BET-M 33 | 39c | 550.4$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed BET-M 33 | 61c | 420.63$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.58 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked BET-M 33 | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed BET-M 33 | 49c | 207.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bf…4bebbacked 1WIN | 47c | 206.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed 1WIN | 35c | 194.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed BET-M 33 | 43c | 182.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed BET-M 33 | 57c | 171.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed 1WIN | 52c | 141.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1WIN | 51c | 126.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.71 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BET-M 33 | 74c | 123.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed BET-M 33 | 21c | 106$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed BET-M 33 | 25c | 93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed BET-M 33 | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed 1WIN | 44c | 85.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed BET-M 33 | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed BET-M 33 | 21c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed BET-M 33 | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked 1WIN | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…33efbacked BET-M 33 | 41c | 38.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed 1WIN | 52c | 38.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BET-M 33 | 51c | 37.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…6fb2backed BET-M 33 | 68c | 36.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 162 | 30.2%49 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed 1WIN | 53c | 25.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked BET-M 33 | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed 1WIN | 46c | 22.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8423…2acfbacked 1WIN | 51c | 22.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1WIN | 47c | 21.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed 1WIN | 50c | 20.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 681 | 72.2%492 W · 189 L | +120.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked BET-M 33 | 51c | 19.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 724 | 51.2%371 W · 353 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed 1WIN | 56c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs 1WIN (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs1WIN won
- Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winner1WIN won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.