South American Leagues · resolved market
Coritiba FBC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcdf5230a98d69f8f2052e298401d83207b5f5f1fa3c519aada83d1810ba0496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,594 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 66c | 4,312$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.45 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 3,333$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.05 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 3,320$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 48c | 2,500$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.99 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 20c | 1,249$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.85 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 32c | 947$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.51 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Over | 10c | 937.28$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Over | 72c | 912.36$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 868.41$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.8 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 39c | 426.24$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.68 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 57c | 400.91$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 13c | 194.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 139.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 131.42$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 29c | 125$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.75 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 76c | 52.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 24c | 52.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…985ebacked Under | 25c | 49.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 26c | 48.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 65c | 45.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 45c | 41.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Under | 73c | 40.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 73c | 37.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 38c | 33.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked Over | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Over | 34c | 31.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Under | 37c | 30.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…5314backed Over | 59c | 29.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…52d4backed Under | 78c | 20.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Coritiba FBC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5this page
- Coritiba FBC vs. Clube do Remo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coritiba FBC vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.