South American Leagues · resolved market
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04f2f6e924368741a142488d15fc4d1126a22552b5a84ef6474d535c1b6edd15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,816 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Over | 44c | 21,499$9,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,039.42 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 16,181$8,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,972.18 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 12,810$7,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,047.03 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 54c | 12,054$6,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,487.1 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 50c | 8,049$4,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.36 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 56c | 7,352$4,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.12 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 6,473$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,687.56 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 56c | 4,643$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 40c | 4,023$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.1 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 46c | 3,500$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 46c | 2,509$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 46c | 2,036$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.46 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 54c | 1,604$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 54c | 1,513$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.03 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Over | 39c | 999.97$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.98 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 942.78$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.47 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 56c | 902.61$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.46 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…f823backed Over | 41c | 858.54$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 47c | 808.51$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.51 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 43c | 696.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.28 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 61c | 570$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 46c | 369.04$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.28 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 53c | 362.96$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 42c | 360.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.12 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 32c | 344.05$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 53c | 267.59$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.28 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 45c | 258$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Over | 46c | 256.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Over | 49c | 252.55$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.55 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 62c | 225.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Over | 45c | 200.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 79c | 189.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 167.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 47c | 166$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 46c | 148.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 54c | 146.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 46c | 145.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.02 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 141.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd979…d8a0backed Over | 45c | 110.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 43c | 110$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 56c | 105.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 46c | 103.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Over | 41c | 89.8$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 46c | 85.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 56c | 83.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 56c | 73.68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 57c | 73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Under | 57c | 71.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 57c | 68.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 46c | 66.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 47c | 63.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 44c | 59.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 56c | 55.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 56c | 53.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 45c | 45.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 46c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 61c | 42.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 45c | 39.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 50c | 37.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5this page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.