South American Leagues · resolved market
Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd3e6dd1667f486f2ec122dae02812aec3524592a17138ff776a185727916260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,525 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 51c | 2,092$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.65 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 51c | 1,426$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.23 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,090$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.76 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 49c | 790.06$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.83 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 720.42$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.63 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 46c | 680$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.95 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked No | 51c | 254$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 49c | 233.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 50c | 181.61$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 175.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.76 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 49c | 173.47$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed No | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 49c | 92.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 72.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed No | 52c | 72.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Yes | 49c | 47.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked Yes | 51c | 24.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 51c | 19.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 62c | 16.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)CR Vasco da Gama won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.