Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Shevchenko (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x170d0b0a881a2aa1efcc28e67c2347db55ae629c4bf73a2e49da5166a68588da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shevchenkoof Khachanov, Shevchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Khachanov | 61c | 1,653$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.7 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Shevchenko | 42c | 1,250$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shevchenko | 41c | 906.42$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.61 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Khachanov | 58c | 343.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Khachanov | 59c | 252.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Shevchenko | 44c | 249.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.51 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Khachanov | 60c | 242.36$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.88 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Khachanov | 54c | 235.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Shevchenko | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Khachanov | 60c | 167.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Shevchenko | 41c | 158.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Khachanov | 58c | 139.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shevchenko | 39c | 124.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Shevchenko | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Shevchenko | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80bb…ea80backed Khachanov | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Khachanov | 59c | 91.53$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Shevchenko | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Khachanov | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Khachanov | 55c | 74.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Khachanov | 56c | 51.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Shevchenko | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750d…566bbacked Shevchenko | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…a57bbacked Shevchenko | 47c | 23.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Khachanov (-1.5) vs Shevchenko (+1.5)this page
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Alexander Shevchenko vs Karen KhachanovKhachanov won
- Set 1 Winner: Shevchenko vs KhachanovShevchenko won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.