Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec75b96795b34a3bded487a02398d39b605d1d8c9c5ebbf2e5a47fd9fa0ea104
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,859,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,848,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,859,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1c5…cbd0backed Yes | 52c | 1,445,795$745,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700,432.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 48c | 276,825$132,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132,875.93 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked No | 49c | 209,239$103,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,191.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 48c | 192,308$92,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,307.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…f402backed No | 48c | 170,000$81,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed No | 47c | 107,651$50,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,384.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 48c | 96,588$46,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,625.53 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 49c | 81,429$39,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,900.29 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 48c | 65,349$31,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,367.52 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 49c | 63,207$30,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,971.43 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 48c | 31,250$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 30,396$14,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,857.17 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 48c | 29,999$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,599.72 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 48c | 22,848$10,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,967 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 48c | 21,157$10,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,155.36 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…f06dbacked No | 48c | 16,579$7,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,958 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 48c | 16,297$7,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,822.47 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 15,574$7,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,786.96 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 15,530$7,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,621.9 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed No | 50c | 15,200$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 48c | 14,214$6,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,391.28 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 13,042$6,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,536.99 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked No | 49c | 12,796$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,220.18 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked No | 50c | 11,620$5,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,809.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…aef4backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 53c | 8,487$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987.45 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 15c | 8,363$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.36 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 8,063$3,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,544.98 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 7,681$2,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.14 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 7,215$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,713.67 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 47c | 6,705$3,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,151.45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 48c | 6,500$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 50c | 6,400$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked No | 49c | 5,875$2,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 5,469$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640.15 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked No | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 52c | 5,014$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.27 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked No | 34c | 5,009$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed No | 48c | 4,875$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 49c | 4,658$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.45 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…4ba0backed No | 48c | 4,450$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 43c | 4,328$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 52c | 4,136$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked No | 49c | 4,062$1,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,990.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed No | 50c | 3,713$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 50c | 3,643$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.3 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed No | 48c | 2,925$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 34c | 2,778$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 47c | 2,764$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.83 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 50c | 2,368$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 52c | 2,211$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 52c | 2,211$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.47 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed No | 48c | 2,061$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaa…cba1backed No | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 1,857$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.25 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 50c | 1,840$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 67c | 1,699$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.69 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 48c | 1,614$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.46 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +7.8wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 50c | 1,503$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.16 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked No | 32c | 1,491$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 48c | 1,352$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.84 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed No | 48c | 1,300$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 11c | 1,261$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.15 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Yes | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 77c | 1,164$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.65 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 1,160$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.21 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed No | 49c | 1,150$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.5 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked No | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 50c | 1,017$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.31 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked No | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 10c | 947.29$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 53c | 900$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.