Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef93debd2a968d178427867335e362de24b2734a2bcc4f775e3b60885126faf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 25c | 1,945$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.25 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked No | 75c | 1,717$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 1,461$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.78 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86f…da81backed Yes | 24c | 1,129$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 75c | 624$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 15c | 581.22$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.57 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…d511backed No | 76c | 310.09$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 24c | 247.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 14c | 198.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes | 17c | 173.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 9c | 162.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 146.45$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 9c | 125.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 121.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…ea7abacked No | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 74c | 119.95$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 74c | 119.24$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 75c | 108.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 16c | 103.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacfc…f2fdbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…b1bfbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 78.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 63.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Yes | 25c | 58.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 57.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 26c | 55.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 75c | 52.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 76c | 49.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…b1cebacked Yes | 27c | 40.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…675bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…53f7backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 76c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-17?Yes won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.