Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc6b729fd180086f27de7a1509f6e7393db5d0b9ac7d21b1c8390831bbc5e46c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGC Niceof Olympique de Marseille, OGC Nice
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed OGC Nice | 63c | 5,430$3,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.84 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Olympique de Marseille | 37c | 4,570$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed OGC Nice | 69c | 3,567$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed OGC Nice | 63c | 3,115$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.35 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked OGC Nice | 65c | 2,241$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.98 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Olympique de Marseille | 37c | 2,152$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.31 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed OGC Nice | 71c | 2,063$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.6 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Olympique de Marseille | 37c | 1,889$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Olympique de Marseille | 31c | 1,526$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Olympique de Marseille | 34c | 1,448$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.17 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Olympique de Marseille | 31c | 1,100$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed OGC Nice | 69c | 1,098$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.79 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked OGC Nice | 68c | 1,010$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Olympique de Marseille | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked OGC Nice | 64c | 999.2$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Olympique de Marseille | 26c | 813.39$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.51 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Olympique de Marseille | 33c | 647.05$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.43 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed OGC Nice | 70c | 631.49$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.07 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Olympique de Marseille | 32c | 506.38$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Olympique de Marseille | 37c | 368.01$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.58 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Olympique de Marseille | 42c | 357$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…c93abacked Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 324.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed OGC Nice | 64c | 298.26$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Olympique de Marseille | 30c | 285.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Olympique de Marseille | 30c | 245.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…6ea7backed Olympique de Marseille | 37c | 208.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +125%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Olympique de Marseille | 35c | 203.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Olympique de Marseille | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed OGC Nice | 70c | 168.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked OGC Nice | 69c | 153$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…7b2dbacked Olympique de Marseille | 36c | 146.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Olympique de Marseille | 25c | 138.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Olympique de Marseille | 34c | 124.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed OGC Nice | 64c | 122.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed OGC Nice | 74c | 110.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Olympique de Marseille | 33c | 101.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Olympique de Marseille | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Olympique de Marseille | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Olympique de Marseille | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -5.0wins | -0.39per pick | 46cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Olympique de Marseille | 31c | 99.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…2db2backed OGC Nice | 65c | 85.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Olympique de Marseille | 27c | 81.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Olympique de Marseille | 40c | 77.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked OGC Nice | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Olympique de Marseille | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f3…8b96backed OGC Nice | 65c | 63.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Olympique de Marseille | 29c | 61.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Olympique de Marseille | 34c | 59.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Olympique de Marseille | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Olympique de Marseille | 38c | 51.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked OGC Nice | 73c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Olympique de Marseille | 24c | 44.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Olympique de Marseille | 27c | 44.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Olympique de Marseille | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…35ccbacked Olympique de Marseille | 37c | 38.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed OGC Nice | 72c | 36.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked OGC Nice | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Olympique de Marseille | 37c | 31.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Olympique de Marseille | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Olympique de Marseille | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed OGC Nice | 66c | 19.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked OGC Nice | 72c | 17.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed OGC Nice | 71c | 16.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…bbb5backed OGC Nice | 77c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed OGC Nice | 75c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)this page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)OGC Nice won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.