Mls · resolved market
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a84257b4e85090b2f1c899af969faed735c98fc5e3ea51c855a903a40fb24c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 37c | 12,000$4,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 64c | 3,793$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.78 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 32c | 3,174$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.3 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 3,113$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.33 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked No | 57c | 3,108$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 2,933$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.51 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 2,732$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.46 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 2,667$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.89 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 63c | 2,143$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.92 | 172 | 58.1%100 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x911b…344fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 40c | 1,734$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 62c | 1,503$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.99 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 1,423$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.96 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 60c | 1,017$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.67 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 43c | 931$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Yes | 43c | 931$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked No | 66c | 902.27$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 35c | 895$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.95 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 44c | 881.16$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.92 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 70c | 834.37$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.91 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 38c | 684$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.9 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 679.38$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.01 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 61c | 660.58$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.41 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Yes | 36c | 617.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Yes | 41c | 568.92$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 560.76$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.53 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 37c | 547.21$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 27c | 529.16$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.87 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 483$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 56c | 456.58$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.66 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 64c | 431.93$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 55c | 423.57$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.25 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.8 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 33c | 390.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.67 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed No | 39c | 332.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.52per pick | 33cpaid | +231.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 61c | 327.43$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.06 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 63c | 305$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…ae3dbacked No | 64c | 302.1$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 36c | 290$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.05 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 286.8$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 59c | 271.29$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 18c | 267.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 36c | 258.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked No | 59c | 248.7$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.97 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 45c | 248.2$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.97 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 41c | 244.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.05 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 58c | 240$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed No | 72c | 213.55$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 37c | 209.08$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.72 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +18.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed No | 63c | 198.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.41 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc81…e072backed Yes | 33c | 182.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 69c | 181.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 63c | 180$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 36c | 173$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 33c | 162.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 38c | 157.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Yes | 38c | 155.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 60c | 152.93$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Yes | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 48c | 137.53$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 37c | 134.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 63c | 125.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 110.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 40c | 109.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 37c | 97.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 64c | 89.51$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…1388backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 51c | 82.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 30c | 82.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 74c | 81.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6851…ec54backed Yes | 60c | 77.73$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 41c | 67.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 45c | 66.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 39c | 65.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 36c | 63.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 33c | 62.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 65c | 61.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 32c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 63c | 58.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 37c | 57.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…a59bbacked Yes | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 30c | 49.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 40c | 48.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 65c | 47.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 67c | 43.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 60c | 40.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…7ad0backed Yes | 33c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc813…e42bbacked Yes | 40c | 34.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Orlando City SC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.