South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf53f0f7baac7919ac8bb7383607f8053cfab20ff2e708312bd68bfa416d8d334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 30c | 3,300$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 77c | 2,202$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.5 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 57c | 1,875$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.57 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 54c | 1,724$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.05 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 68c | 1,090$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.56 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 1,031$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.83 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 744.55$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.63 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 729.14$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.69 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Yes | 75c | 728$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked No | 11c | 599.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 559.19$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 28c | 520.37$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.45 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 56c | 412.63$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.17 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 28c | 397.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.35 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 68c | 365.89$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 350$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 38c | 321.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 291.06$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.95 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 280.45$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.25 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903e…2829backed Yes | 73c | 272.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…93febacked Yes | 33c | 260$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 41c | 258.53$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 229.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 31c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…5c4bbacked Yes | 77c | 197.69$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 61c | 176.43$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 165.9$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…9257backed Yes | 16c | 163.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 163.16$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed Yes | 29c | 161.29$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.52 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 63c | 150.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.22 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 21c | 143.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…b8ecbacked Yes | 76c | 132.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 30c | 131.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 71c | 129.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 59c | 122.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.18 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 30c | 110.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 30c | 110.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 103.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 29c | 102.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 30c | 85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 75c | 81.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd76c…94edbacked Yes | 28c | 75.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes | 42c | 73.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 27c | 72.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 20c | 71.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 45c | 63.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 71c | 62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 30c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Yes | 64c | 52.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 50.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 73c | 49.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 28c | 47.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 34c | 47.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 70c | 42.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d11fbacked Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6c…be63backed Yes | 74c | 39.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 40c | 38.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed No | 74c | 38.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 48c | 37.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 70c | 36.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 35.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 72c | 34.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 71c | 32.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 28.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 57c | 27.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…3592backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 68c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Yes | 74c | 25.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…85afbacked Yes | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…5737backed No | 70c | 24.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 21.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb633…871abacked Yes | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 70c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 72c | 14.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?this page
- Will CF América win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.