La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5d3f4c76957bcfe50626fd5af267f9df40d8b69d4854ace84dacc5f6646689c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 29c | 448.13$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 57c | 359$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.37 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 358.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.56 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 34c | 327.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 74c | 265.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 25c | 184.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 150.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.53 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 52c | 95.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 26c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 25c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 34c | 49.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 80c | 31.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 31.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Over | 65c | 29.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…f873backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…288cbacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Over | 74c | 16.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 75c | 16.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Over | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 1.5this page
- Elche CF vs. Girona: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.