La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x153faa53784a5aab7c739970c79d4448128edd673bf0ee36c87be8d4e3664ef0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 6,970$4,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.45 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 28c | 6,488$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.16 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 24c | 1,252$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.31 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 71c | 587.89$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.29 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Over | 56c | 392.07$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 27c | 207.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Under | 73c | 164.92$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Under | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 74.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Under | 71c | 64.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Over | 65c | 46.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Under | 78c | 39.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f2…1e32backed Under | 43c | 37.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…b959backed Under | 73c | 24.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…947dbacked Over | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 71c | 19.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Under | 58c | 18.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 3.5this page
- Elche CF vs. Girona: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.