La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa374f71fe791535546485dfb691399cf710b7b5a3574fab30cf25e4a9f62d988
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 31c | 6,961$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.81 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 5,728$3,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,636.37 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Under | 55c | 1,825$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 1,752$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.37 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 1,399$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.34 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 45c | 1,136$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.8 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Under | 54c | 648.15$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 65c | 526.65$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.67 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Under | 73c | 282.33$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.1 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 52c | 238.46$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.4 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 53c | 184$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 25c | 152.65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 40c | 124$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 51c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 45c | 97.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 37c | 78.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 48c | 64.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…cacebacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 46c | 35.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…48bbbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 47c | 28.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…023cbacked Over | 70c | 26.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 63c | 24.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 54cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 2.5this page
- Elche CF vs. Girona: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Elche CF vs. Girona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)Elche CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.