Euroleague · resolved market
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa15b81886681eea763ed65f2df7e427f428b9d96cec15ddeb106dc9cb90f5096
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof KK Crvena Zvezda, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Barcelona | 50c | 5,159$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Barcelona | 54c | 2,072$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.07 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Barcelona | 65c | 1,968$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.96 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Barcelona | 58c | 1,735$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.23 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 37c | 1,502$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.52 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 38c | 1,298$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.21 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 1,254$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.65 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Barcelona | 60c | 624.88$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 53c | 565.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…45cabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 475$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 9c | 305$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…a84abacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 292.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Barcelona | 35c | 285$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Barcelona | 38c | 228.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Barcelona | 35c | 218.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 29c | 207.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 57c | 174.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 43c | 166.16$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Barcelona | 59c | 165.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 163.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Barcelona | 65c | 139$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…1c83backed Barcelona | 50c | 136.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Barcelona | 38c | 104.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.15 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 64c | 82.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 65c | 75.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Barcelona | 35c | 75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 63c | 71.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 65c | 69.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Barcelona | 35c | 57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 35c | 56.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Barcelona | 36c | 54.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Barcelona | 53c | 53.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Barcelona | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…8becbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 54c | 46.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Barcelona | 36c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 64c | 29.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d91cbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 67c | 28.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Barcelona | 48c | 26.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.