Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc91484bbb4c562934dd4e3a7da1020f97d9ebeebef62c6c4e590d84e9452195
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 4,643$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.15 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 75c | 1,517$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.27 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +326.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,325$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,184$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 79c | 1,080$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.57 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 74c | 1,021$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.78 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 866$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 78c | 647.08$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.74 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 26c | 534.33$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.55 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 24c | 417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 25c | 415.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.13 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 389.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 25c | 327.2$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.55 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…af75backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 197.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x303b…53cabacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 22c | 148$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Yes | 24c | 140.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Yes | 27c | 124$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 124$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 21c | 111.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 14c | 108.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa09a…5cb8backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Yes | 26c | 92.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 24c | 82.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 77c | 76.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Yes | 23c | 75.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 118 | 69.5%82 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…14d9backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 26c | 58.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Yes | 22c | 57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked No | 78c | 56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Yes | 23c | 49.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…daabbacked No | 79c | 47.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 58cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 78c | 39.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed No | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…b2c0backed No | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 63c | 27.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 74c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…3443backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked No | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed No | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed No | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FCSB vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?this page
- Will FCSB win on 2025-12-11?Yes won
- Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.